India: Increased security likely ahead of, during, and immediately after Karnataka State assembly elections, May 10

Event

Rallies and increased security are likely in Karnataka State ahead of, during, and immediately after the assembly elections May 10. The voting day is a paid holiday; additional holidays are possible for government offices and educational institutions May 9 and 13. Over 53 million registered voters will elect representatives to 224 Legislative Assembly seats. Officials will declare election results May 13. Heightened security is certain at rally venues, poll stations, political party offices, government buildings, crowded public places, and interstate border checkpoints during the election period.

Political parties will hold campaign events, mainly at stadiums and public grounds, until May 8. Tight security and localized traffic restrictions are certain at well-attended events helmed by prominent leaders of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), as well as state opposition parties like the Indian National Congress (INC) and the Janata Dal Secular (JDS). Rallies are likely to pass off peacefully, though minor skirmishes between supporters of rival political parties cannot be ruled out. The largest gatherings are most probable in urban centers, such as Bengaluru, Dharwad, Kalaburagi, Mangaluru, and Mysuru. Hundreds of thousands of people typically attend addresses by top leaders, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi and former INC President Rahul Gandhi.

Various civil, farmer, labor, and student groups may hold protests over grievances before and during the election. Disruptive protests by political outfits may also occur before, during, and after the vote if there are any allegations of irregularities; celebratory gatherings may occur after officials declare results. Popular protest sites include political party offices, public squares, and major thoroughfares. Localized transport disruptions may occur near demonstration venues, especially if protesters march on or block roadways. However, any unrest will probably be localized, as security forces will likely respond quickly to violent demonstrations.