Date
April 19, 2019

WTOP's "Inside the SCIF" features reports, headline news, and breaking intelligence. WorldAware was featured in the seventh edition of this piece, reporting on the popular uprising in Sudan. 

Current military leadership in Sudan is being challenged after the ouster of former president Omar Al-Bashir on April 11. The following excerpt from the WTOP article was written by Bernard Londoni, Regional Intelligence Manager, and Senait Dunham, Intelligence Analyst for the Africa Region.

"A military transitional council led by former Defense Minister Abdel Fattah Al-Burhane has called for a dialogue with the political opposition and civil society groups. However, protests by pro-democracy activists will likely continue around the country. Activists will likely stage sit-ins in front of the army headquarters in Khartoum. The primary demand of protesters and armed groups is for a civilian government to replace the military council; these groups are opposed to any form of a transitional administration dominated by the military and want the rule of law. Possible differences between the new leaders and demonstrators will further increase tensions if the standoff between protesters and the military continues.

Sudan’s political situation is complicated by the presence and power of multiple stakeholders with entrenched interests that are difficult to reconcile. The current military leadership is challenged by the need to accommodate all components of the powerful security apparatus built during Al-Bashir’s reign. Sudan’s stability will largely depend on how the new administration, political parties and militias engage with one another. The failure to reach a comprehensive deal could plunge the country into another civil conflict. Groups backing the former regime could direct their energies toward destabilizing the current leadership. In addition, a possible new takeover of the government by radical members of the security forces cannot be ruled out."

 

Advice for Personnel or Business Operations in Sudan

It's important to have a risk management plan in place when significant government changes occur. Always establish a contingency plan to depart the country if security conditions become unbearable. As activists congregate, avoid all protests, demonstrations, and gatherings for personal safety. Note that even peaceful protests can spontaneously result in clashes between security forces and protesters. If unrest erupts near you, leave the area immediately and seek shelter in a non-governmental building such as a hotel when possible. 

Be prepared for roadblocks due to demonstrations; there could be a blockage of all transportation means. Foreign nationals are advised to rely on transportation provided by local contacts. Recent tactics of blockading government businesses and facilities, including ports and airports, could intensify if a deal is not reached. 

Carry important identification and travel documents with you at all times; be polite and nonconfrontational if stopped at a security checkpoint. Comply with authorities’ restrictions on the amount of foreign currency a visitor should take out of Sudan (EUR 10,000); foreigners or locals need an import declaration for any amount exceeding EUR 10,000.

For more information, read the full edition of Inside the SCIF.