Notification: Iraq - Security Incident Jan. 3 (Upd. 1) - Baghdad

Alert Details:

UPDATE 1: Operations at Baghdad Airport resume following reports of disruptions after four projectiles landed near facility, early Jan. 3.

 

Locations affected by this alert: Arbil (Erbil), Baghdad, BALAD*, Basra, KARBALA*, KIRKUK*, MOSUL*, NAJAF*, Sulaymaniyah

 

This Alert began Jan 03, 2020 03:43 UTC and is scheduled to expire Jan 05, 2020 23:59 UTC.

 
  • Incident: Security incident
  • Location: Baghdad International Airport (map)
  • Time/Date: Early Jan. 3
  • Impact: Increased security measures, possible retaliatory attacks, additional violence, localized transport and business disruptions

Summary
Baghdad International Airport (BGW) has resumed operations after at least four rockets landed near the facility early Jan. 3. Reports indicate that three rockets impacted near the airport early Jan. 3 but did not cause casualties or significant damage.

A few hours later, on the same day, an airstrike reportedly struck two vehicles inside the airport, killing at least five people, including Iranian Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani and Iraqi Shi'a militia leader Abu Mahdi al-Mohandis. The United States has claimed responsibility for the airstrike.

The US military, as well as the Iraqi military, will likely be placed on high security alert. Social media reports indicate that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have already been placed on high alert due to the fear of retaliatory attacks by Iranian proxies throughout the region.

Iraqi authorities will likely maintain a heightened security presence in Baghdad and throughout the southern and central areas of Iraq amid fears of further rocket attacks and additional violence. Followers and supporters of Shi'a militias in Iraq could conduct retaliatory attacks against US military personnel and interests.

Background and Analysis
Soleimani was the commander of the Quds Force, which is the external wing of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and focuses on special and clandestine operations outside Iran. Soleimani was the main architect of Iran's military adventures and played a pivotal role in the country's activities in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. Soleimani was also Iran's most formidable military commander and supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's favorite military commander. Khamenei awarded Soleimani with the Order of Zulfiqar in March 2019, which is the country's most prestigious award, and no military commander had received it since the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran. Retaliatory attacks by Iran and its proxies remain likely; however, what form or shape these actions will take remain to be seen.

The recent incident comes a few days after hundreds of Shi'a militia supporters stormed the US Embassy in Baghdad, setting several parts of the facility on fire, Dec. 31. The attack against the embassy prompted the US to deploy additional security forces to the facility. The attack also brought about the suspension of all consular operations until further notice by the US Department of State. According to the US Department of Defense, Soleimani was planning further attacks on American assets and positions in Iraq and the wider region.

The recent incident marks a significant escalation in US-Iran tensions in the region. US President Donald J. Trump accused Iran of having orchestrated the attack against the US Embassy and pledged retaliation against any further anti-US action. Iran has denied the accusation.

The trigger for the recent series of incidents was a rocket attack against the K-1 Airbase in Kirkuk, killing one US defense contractor and injuring four military personnel. Following the rocket attack, the US conducted airstrikes against Kata'ib Hizballah (KH) military bases in Iraq and Syria Dec. 29, which left 25 members of the group dead and more than 50 others injured. The US deemed KH responsible for the attack against K-1 Airbase.

Advice
Avoid all gathering and rallies. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation. Plan for delays to diplomatic services and Iraqi government operations in the International Zone in the coming days. Reconfirm business appointments. If incoming artillery fire is reported in the general vicinity, stay indoors, away from windows and exterior walls, and, if possible, move to a ground floor or basement. Check flight status before departing for the airport if traveling via BGW Jan. 3. Do not check out of accommodations until onward travel is confirmed.

Alert Latitude and Longitude:

Latitude

 

Longitude

33.267077

 

44.231000

33.298742

 

44.395913