Philippines: Investigation into explosions at Bicol University, Legazpi City, as of Oct. 6

Event

Philippine authorities continue investigations into explosions at Bicol University, Legazpi City, Albay Province as of Oct. 6. The two explosions occurred in front of the university's administration building at around 18:30 Oct. 3. Security personnel recovered two cartridges from a grenade launcher at the scene. There were no reports of injuries or fatalities. While no group has claimed responsibility for the attack, the armed wing of the Communist Party of the Philippines (CPP), New People’s Army (NPA), is likely responsible.

Officials are tightening security measures in the region following the incident. Heightened security is likely near government buildings and other potential targets. Further attacks are possible.

Context

The recent incident comes amid an increase in NPA activity. While NPA is mostly active in Mindanao, the group continues to be active in insurgency-affected areas like Legazpi City. Recent clashes took place between NPA and security forces in Bukidnon and Agusan del Norte provinces, northern Mindanao Region, in September. Additional NPA attacks and clashes with security personnel remain likely over the near term. Authorities will likely increase security measures in the affected areas, including increasing security checks and erecting additional checkpoints. The group may leverage on the upcoming May 2022 general elections to coerce candidates in insurgency affected localities.

President Rodrigo Duterte previously announced he would not allow any ceasefire between the government and the NPA during the rest of his administration through 2022. Security officials have also advised Duterte against a ceasefire in past years, claiming that the NPA exploits the cessation in hostilities to recruit additional militants and carry out extortion activities. Additionally, previous ceasefire agreements usually break down before their planned expiration, with both sides accusing the other of violating the declarations.