India: BJP plans shutdown strike in northern districts of West Bengal State on Dec. 8; political tensions to intensify ahead of elections

Event

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has called for a shutdown strike throughout the northern districts of West Bengal state on Dec. 8. Clashes between BJP supporters and police in Siliguri left at least one BJP member dead on Dec. 7; BJP leaders contend the death was a result of direct and deliberate police action and have called the Dec. 8 strike to condemn West Bengal State’s ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC). Areas under the purview of the planned action include districts in Malda division and Jalpaiguri division.

Transport and business disruptions are likely in affected communities on Dec. 8. BJP supporters will probably block roads, national highways, and rail lines during the action. Local, intercity, and interstate ground transport will likely be affected. Strike supporters could target vehicles and businesses that defy their orders to shut down. Ground transport disruptions are likely to affect cross-state passenger movement and freight shipments between Assam and West Bengal.

BJP members will likely demonstrate at various locations, including government offices and public squares, during the strike. Officials will likely deploy additional security personnel in the region. Clashes between police and demonstrators are likely, especially if police officers use force to disperse gatherings. Violent confrontations between members of rival political groups are possible.

Context

Political violence occurs regularly in West Bengal State. Assaults, assassinations, and minor bombings typically peak near election periods. Police often resort to force such as using batons, tear gas, and water cannons when clearing unruly mobs. Prolonged impacts in urban areas remain unlikely, though intensified disruptions may occur ahead of state assembly elections scheduled to be held by May 2021.

Advice

Confirm all business appointments and transport arrangements in northern West Bengal Dec. 8. Minimize travel along roads and highways through affected areas; strike enforcers frequently target vehicles for defying their action. Do not attempt to pass through roadblocks. Avoid all protests due to the threat of clashes. Use caution around government buildings, educational campuses, political party offices, and other popular rally sites.